I think that, since the wave of IT outsourcing in the 00s, anybody with a career in Tech who had reached the level of Senior Designer-Developer by then or was close to it was safe in their job forever, because that seriously bottlenecked the job opportunities and the Junior and Mid career levels in the West whilst in places that benefited from it, it just translated into tons of people going into Tech who had no knack for it whatsover and would otherwise never have enter the field (so whilst in some countries gifted techies were just giving up on a Tech career, in other countries the field got tons more of incompetent techies who would never good enough to become senior experts in the field), meaning ever fewer professionals reaching the Senior expertise level.

Silver lining in a very big, very dark cloud for those in the right place and time.

Now, AI plus almost all young people nowadays growing up as Tech tool users surrounded by locked-down systems rather than tool makers (if only out of need, because most Tech stuff used to need some configuring and babysitting) is just making that even worse.

I suspect Tech growth and improvement is going to pretty much grind to a halt in the next decade or two.