Following the June 2022 Supreme Court ruling that overturned Roe v. Wade, the researchers estimated there were 519,981 rapes associated with 64,565 pregnancies during the four to 18 months after states implemented total abortion bans.
I find this somewhat difficult to understand… “four to 18 months” is a really wide range. Did they mean “the period between four and eighteen months” following the abortion bans? Is this just poor phrasing? When exactly do these statistics begin and end?
Of those pregnancies, an estimated 5,586 occurred in states with exceptions for rape and 58,979 in states with no exceptions.
This seems to be a very telling statistic as it shows an order of magnitude difference, but it would be more informative if it were normalized for population count and/or rape incident count per jurisdiction.
Texas saw an estimated 26,313 rape-related pregnancies during the 16 months after the state outlawed all abortions
What was the per-month average prior to the ban? Is this a delta, or is it just representative of Texas in general?
I think there’s a very valid point to be made here about correlation between rape incidents, unwanted pregnancies and states with abortion bans, but it’s being hampered by very bad handling of statistical data.
I find this somewhat difficult to understand… “four to 18 months” is a really wide range. Did they mean “the period between four and eighteen months” following the abortion bans? Is this just poor phrasing? When exactly do these statistics begin and end?
This seems to be a very telling statistic as it shows an order of magnitude difference, but it would be more informative if it were normalized for population count and/or rape incident count per jurisdiction.
What was the per-month average prior to the ban? Is this a delta, or is it just representative of Texas in general?
I think there’s a very valid point to be made here about correlation between rape incidents, unwanted pregnancies and states with abortion bans, but it’s being hampered by very bad handling of statistical data.
Someone linked to the study in another comment
Great. Maybe the author should’ve read it.