It’s a funky cognitive dissonance in my head. On one hand, conspiracy theories are deliberately engineered for propaganda and distractions. On the other hand, everything surrounding Epstein makes Pizzagate look like a mundane theory in comparison, both oddly involving the Clinton’s.
It feels like damned if you do damned if you don’t. In a lot of cases Occam’s Razor is the only thing that makes a conspiracy obviously wrong, but reality is so strange that the simplest answer doesn’t cut it anymore.
So this is a bit not picky, but Occam’s razor isn’t just about the simplest. It is if two hypotheses both equally explain a phenomenon you should choose the simplest. It also could be explained as choosing the explanation the requires the fewest assumptions. So it still allows for complexity in the hypotheses, but aims to reduce complexity when a simpler answer will suffice.
My theory is that Epstein & Associates started QAnon and Pizzagate et al in order to make conspiracy theorists look crazy and desensitize people to allegations of high-ranking government officials and other influential or wealthy individuals doing shady and evil stuff.
Also, Occam’s Razors is a literal fallacy. Always has been. In formal logic they call it jumping to conclusions.
It’s a funky cognitive dissonance in my head. On one hand, conspiracy theories are deliberately engineered for propaganda and distractions. On the other hand, everything surrounding Epstein makes Pizzagate look like a mundane theory in comparison, both oddly involving the Clinton’s.
It feels like damned if you do damned if you don’t. In a lot of cases Occam’s Razor is the only thing that makes a conspiracy obviously wrong, but reality is so strange that the simplest answer doesn’t cut it anymore.
So this is a bit not picky, but Occam’s razor isn’t just about the simplest. It is if two hypotheses both equally explain a phenomenon you should choose the simplest. It also could be explained as choosing the explanation the requires the fewest assumptions. So it still allows for complexity in the hypotheses, but aims to reduce complexity when a simpler answer will suffice.
I knew that but I also appreciate you laying it all out to reduce the misconception.
I thought you might, but I’ve seen a lot of people that try to use it incorrectly. So figured it wouldn’t hurt to drop a comment.
My theory is that Epstein & Associates started QAnon and Pizzagate et al in order to make conspiracy theorists look crazy and desensitize people to allegations of high-ranking government officials and other influential or wealthy individuals doing shady and evil stuff.
Also, Occam’s Razors is a literal fallacy. Always has been. In formal logic they call it jumping to conclusions.