

not really


not really


“our IPO will be supported by the people we are forcing to buy it’ is definitely a vote of confidence and not at all ominous


Sharing a gem from r/BetterOffline
“The next Google is dancing naked in front of you. If you can’t see the value of it, you don’t deserve to make money.” For the first and hopefully last time: Dario Amodei, please put your willy away


At the Financial Times Future of AI Summit, the AI vendors were shocked that nobody likes them. They don’t really understand the objections — one CEO compared data center protestors to protests against masks for COVID.
Utterly ridiculous people who are now getting the wake up to reality they deserve


Anthropic is going ahead with their IPO
This is looking like its going to be a bloody disaster but if the world wants to feed my schadenfreude by all means keep it coming


Struck some gold on slobstack


state bans only slow AI progress by 9 days at the absolute most pessimistic.
I don’t know, I think that’s insanely optimistic


especially “Noosphere89” smugly stating that datacenters will just move somewhere else
there’s no fucking way people will happily accept data centres near them after Big Tech has so happily made clear that they’re on the side of MAGA and fascism


Found another stellar AI 2027 take
” They don’t go through scenarios where AI doesn’t happen because they are unrealistic given what we know now, and even if that did happen somehow, it’s just business as usual in that case? So they don’t have any commentary to give.”
Yeah I’m sure the massive tech stock selloff and Big Tech allying themselves with the now widely despised and crumbling MAGA party and Anthropic’s IPO becoming shakier and shakier and all those voters saying data centred and tech were key issues that lead to them voting and all those anti-data centre bills being approved except one means that AI not being big is totally unrealistic


comment chain so good it must be seen to be believed



Shockingly the comments are calling out that there’s no way the 30% stock market rise is happening, among other things, but to single out a specific comment:
“RSI in 2026 isn’t predicted by that forecast. They predict AI-assisted speedups of progress. We are currently observing that, in fact a little ahead of schedule. According to METR’s best guess, we have the level of speedup now that AI 2027 had expected in Mar 2027. It isn’t “misleading” for a model to present things you consider boring or incremental and then be scored as correct when the boring or incremental things happen. That’s just being right”
Afaik this is a lie? METR’s time horizons graph still hasn’t updated past Claude Mythos, unless this comment is referring to another piece of METR data that I don’t know about.
Edit: quickly looked it up, they’re probably referring to this
Edit 2: yeah, I think this comment is some baloney. AI 2027’s coding ability in March 2027 is listed at 2.3x (and goes up to sped up by 30x). METR estimates Anthropic has been growing at roughly 1.9-2x the rate they were going at March 2024-Oct. 2025 (though they outright state that the estimate is given with high uncertainty)
Edit 3: BetterOffline post better explains why this is bullshit


Very conveniently cropped out the 46% accuracy on their Mid 2026 China predictions. And the graph that shows every single data point is below AI 2027.
(the tweet’s timestap reads August, which makes this even funnier)


Tech industry is coping well with the midterms it seems
“The results offer little evidence of a voter mandate to crack down on AI or data centers,” Kovacevich said, per Ars, noting that “Democratic gubernatorial candidates who opposed data center bans won at a higher rate than those who supported them. “Let’s not confuse an anti-Trump wave with an anti-tech mandate,” he added.
Except every single anti-data centre measure made it through the ballot


I don’t think the bubble has truly burst until OpenAI and/or Anthropic go down, but I do however think that this (and the blue wave at the elections) marks that time is running out for the AI industry


Bart Selman (the other computer scientist) might be rationalist aligned. there’s a future of life institute article on him


Okay yet another post about Yud’s book and its website but finally managed to find that one page I was looking for again. They only put one computer science expert in the praise category shockingly enough (two if you count Scott Aaronson)
Also the main page appears to endorse Dwarkesh’s “AI civilisations” narrative and buys the Claude Mythos hype (its under a read more)


I hope they’re all pissing their pants right now


I’d wager its the likelihood of said prediction being true


Yeah a lot of the text pinged my ‘this was AI generated’ brain
They’re still in hot water with all those data centre restrictions becoming popular