• takeda@lemmy.world
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    10 months ago

    LOL, the support of Ukraine is happening exactly so we don’t get WW3 and won’t have to send our soldiers to fight.

    Anyone who thinks Ukraine is Russia’s ultimate goal is extremely naive.

    It wasn’t Crimea, it wasn’t Georgia, it wasn’t Chechnya. It won’t stop until

    Here’s a quick summary of what it is about: https://youtu.be/M6tsp4mFix8

    This is a book published in 1997 which Putin was following and largely until full invasion of Ukraine everything was going smoothly: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundations_of_Geopolitics

    • Dogyote@slrpnk.net
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      10 months ago

      Ffs. Russia is not going to fight NATO. Why’d they attack Georgia in 2008? Answer: To prevent them from joining NATO. Why’d they attack Ukraine? Answer: to prevent them from joining NATO. Russia is not dumb enough to fight anything that can throw nukes, that’s why they’re preventing the NATO umbrella from covering (what they consider to be) their sphere of influence.

      • doctorcrimson@lemmy.today
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        10 months ago

        Question: If Russia has no intention of fighting NATO then why would they give a fuck if Georgia joined NATO? If they were afraid of NATO invasion, as silly as that is, could they not just offer Georgia a similar mutual defense agreement? I cannot imagine any circumstance other than overt greed and expansionism that would require them to invade Georgia.

        • takeda@lemmy.world
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          10 months ago

          Yeah it is all bullshit. All the Eastern European countries that could, joined NATO in speedrun, because they knew Russia will claim them back as soon as it is capable to do so. Ukraine and Belarus decided to maintain good relationships, and look at how it paid back.

          Russia is a cancer and the countries that hate them the most are their closest neighbors, exactly because they know what kind of cunt the Mother Russia is.

        • Dogyote@slrpnk.net
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          10 months ago

          Because that would remove Georgia from Russia’s sphere of influence. They could no longer de facto dominate Georgia and Georgia would already be armed if a conflict with NATO started.

          They do offer their own pact, called the CSTO, Collective Security Treaty Organization.

          I think that’s why they invaded Georgia, overt greed. To be fair that also plays a role in NATO expansion. NATO won’t accept a country that can’t pull its own weight unless it has some kind of strategic value or economic value. It must be worth defending.

            • Dogyote@slrpnk.net
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              10 months ago

              I never said they did. However they do insist that everyone participate in their “rules based trade system.” What happens to the countries that don’t want to participate or would rather have another trade system? What about countries that don’t want dollar dominance? It doesn’t go well.

              • Crass Spektakel@lemmy.world
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                10 months ago

                If you don’t follow the rules of trading then don’t be surprised if no one wants to trade with you. It is not our job to support you playing queen bee.

                And if you want to do your deals with some Banana Republic Monopoly Money, feel free to do so but be aware you have to pay higher prices as risk compensation if you want to trade with me.

                People don’t trade With Dollar and Euro because they MUST but because it is the most economical method. Stop believing the Propaganda of Left, Right and Islamo Extremists.

        • hark@lemmy.world
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          10 months ago

          Do you think if eastern nations made a “defensive alliance” and included Mexico that the US would be fine with it?

      • ElegantBiscuit@lemm.ee
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        10 months ago

        Their plan isn’t to fight NATO directly. It’s to instigate domestic political support in foreign countries against entities like NATO and the EU, and push nationalism and isolationism and defeatism into enough people’s heads so that the bigger countries think it isn’t worth fighting Russia to defend another smaller country that is not their own. It’s about killing the idea of article 5 and thus NATO’s reason to exist, so that Russia can confront each country on a bilateral basis where they have the military advantage if no one is coming to their defense.

        This probably wont happen with an assault on a major urban area, but little chunks of unpopulated Finland or Norway. How willing would the American public be to send pilots to die for Lapland? If the major powers blink and don’t feel like committing, Russia continues to escalate, like they’ve been doing for the past 15 years

        • xX_fnord_Xx@lemmy.world
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          10 months ago

          To be fair, Lapland contains Santa Clauses’ workshop.

          Imagine the support the West would give to save Christmas.

          /S

        • Dogyote@slrpnk.net
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          10 months ago

          That sounds like an extremely long-term plan, plus every action Russia would take in pursuit of this goal would be wildly counterproductive to the long-term, so I kind of doubt its true. For example, NATO just expanded in reaction to the Ukraine invasion.

      • takeda@lemmy.world
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        10 months ago

        They didn’t plan to join NATO. Ukraine had a single digit percentage interest in NATO before crimea.

        Russia doesn’t want Eastern European countries in NATO, because it makes it much harder to take them over.

        NATO is a defensive alliance, and is no danger to Russia except for their imperialist goals. Best example of it is after Finland joined NATO Russia removed their troops from that border. That’s right Russia now has less troops there than they had when they were imaging Ukraine.

        And one last thing: even if it was true, since when Russia can decide for sovereign nation who they form alliances with? The excuse to invade looks exactly as the same bullshit Nazi Germany invented with Poland (both claiming to save German minorities and also that was actually planning to invade Germany). They are not even original.

        • Dogyote@slrpnk.net
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          10 months ago

          They didn’t plan to join NATO. Ukraine had a single digit percentage interest in NATO before crimea.

          Moves were being made to join NATO back in 2008, but progress was shelved when pro-Russian president Viktor Yanukovych was elected. He was driven out of the country, Russia took Crimea, and then NATO seemed like a particularly good idea.

          Russia doesn’t want Eastern European countries in NATO, because it makes it much harder to take them over.

          I would also add that it takes them out of the Russian sphere of influence, which is Russia’s main concern. Why take over a country if they cooperate with you?

          NATO is a defensive alliance, and is no danger to Russia except for their imperialist goals. Best example of it is after Finland joined NATO Russia removed their troops from that border. That’s right Russia now has less troops there than they had when they were imaging Ukraine.

          Well, yes it’s defensive. No NATO country will attack Russia. However, I’d argue that Russia sees it as more than defensive. Each country that joins the alliance is one less country that Russia can dominate de facto. It’s militarily defensive, but that comes after an economic amd political offensive that removes the country from Russia’s influence. Now you might think, well, those countries entered that agreement voluntarily, and I’d say you’re correct, but Russia doesn’t care how it happened. They were taken from Russia as far as Russia is concerned.

          I’d also argue that the troop removal from thr Finnish border may have more to do with needing troops in Ukraine than it would defending St Petersburg from Finland.

          And one last thing: even if it was true, since when Russia can decide for sovereign nation who they form alliances with? The excuse to invade looks exactly as the same bullshit Nazi Germany invented with Poland (both claiming to save German minorities and also that was actually planning to invade Germany). They are not even original.

          Well they did decide in 2008 in Georgia and they just did in Ukraine. Yes, their justification was mostly BS for domestic consumption, but that doesn’t really matter in the end. Other imperialist countries do this, like the US, China, France, etc, but they’re more subtle and you’re in the West’s media bubble, making it really hard to get an impartial source.

      • dreugeworst@lemmy.ml
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        10 months ago

        If so, those were magnificent own goals. Ukraine wasn’t going to join nato until the little green men showed up, and Sweden and Finland didn’t want to join nato until the full scale invasion. Nato was languishing before all this happened, now they’re re-arming.

        • Dogyote@slrpnk.net
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          10 months ago

          You’re mostly right, but in the interest of accuracy: Ukraine was making moves to join NATO way back in 2008, (possibly because of Russia’s invasion of Georgia) but plans were put on hold when pro-Russian Viktor Yanukovych was president. Once a coup kicked him out of office and Russia seized Crimea, NATO membership became a high priority.

      • assassin_aragorn@lemmy.world
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        10 months ago

        And in the process, more of their neighbors have now joined NATO or are supporting NATO with newfound effort.

        If Russia is dumb enough to do that, they’re dumb enough to fight NATO.

        • Dogyote@slrpnk.net
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          10 months ago

          Those countries were already well outside their sphere of influence. I don’t think they care.

            • Dogyote@slrpnk.net
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              10 months ago

              That seemed more like a reminder to Ukraine that they still were. Or perhaps it was something like, if you’re going to choose the EU over us, then we’re taking our naval base.

    • PilferJynx@lemmy.world
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      10 months ago

      I think at first it was the only goal, at least, for some years. They now have established war production that they aren’t just going to stop. The Russians have been sharpening their teeth in Ukraine. If Trump somehow wins the election NATO countries will be on the menu.

      • takeda@lemmy.world
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        10 months ago

        Seeing downvotes to obvious statements shows how this platform is being dominated by Russian trolls.

        Even this post, you think about it, looks like part of a disinformation campaign, trying to imply that Russian aggression on Ukraine is somehow the West’s fault. Like if they drove their tanks there to just say hello, and Ukraine only waited for it to trap them inside.