This is a thread specifically for the war, not a general megathread (use the pinned /c/genzedong thread for that).

Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.

Previous megathread

  • Rylo@lemmygrad.ml
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    9 days ago

    There is a “clear shift in strategic thinking” in Tehran, especially after the killing of the former surpreme leader who had been “cautious about directly confronting” the US, Ali Fathollah-Nejad, director of the Centre for Middle East and Global Order, told Al Jazeera.

    “Now we see escalating regional factional infighting within the regime in Iran between the hardline pragmatists on one hand and the ultra hardliners on the other hand,” he said. The latter seem to be “dictating the dynamic”, he said, adding that “this new Iranian strategy of escalation is formed from new strategic considerations of deterrence against a new full-fledged attack” on Iran that could “destabilise the regime”.

    There is also a “sense of hubris, as well, from this ultra hardline camp, that … Iran has emerged victorious, plus the costs of confrontation are absorbable, and deep scepticism vis-a-vis the hardline pragmatist camp that has been leading Iranian negotiations”.

    Don’t worry guys, previously it was this very real infighting between moderates and hardliners, we have now upgraded to hardliners vs. ultra hardliners. In a few months we will hear that there is a lot of infighting between the super-duper ultra hardliners vs. the ultimato-mega-giga-hardliners. What would we do without these analysts…

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    11 days ago

    Opinion of MES — Any Gulf Arab cursing Iran for its attacks sincerely needs to find a brain

    Iran is attacking countries like Kuwait, Bahrain, etc. because they house American bases on their territory and because Iran is getting DIRECTLY bombed from these countries by ground-to-ground missiles.

    These people should thank Iran for its restraint. Do you know that most Patriot missiles are not fired from U.S. positions, but from Bahraini Army and Kuwaiti Army bases? In other words, Iran has chosen not to hit one of its primary objectives—missile defense systems—out of fear that Arab soldiers may be harmed in the process.

    Count your blessings, because if this war continues, one day this calculation will also change. Arabs and fellow Muslims will unfortunately die due to the stupidity of your own governments. I hope it doesn’t get to that point, but the responsibility lies with your American and Zionist-loving rulers.

    @Middle_East_Spectator

    https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/34982

    My View

    I agree with this assessment. Although I’ve argued against targeting any Gulf Arab civilian infrastructure beyond oil infrastructure (if you could call it purely civillian, I’d argue not) I think GCC military bases are valid targets. If they are gonna strike Iran on behalf of the US, then they are involved in the war, and therefore should not be surprised if they are hit back. That being said, I understand why Iran doesn’t do so. The day after this war, amd the expunging of imperialists from the region, the Gulf Arab people will remain. Fostering good relations and increasing regional economic development is the next step towards decolonization. The multipolar world is emerging on front of our eyes, and a semi-united West Asia would be able to facilitate global development very effectively due to their geophraphic distance from all other poles within the eastern hemisphere.

    • Razia (She/Her)@lemmygrad.ml
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      11 days ago

      It’s easy to get frustrated with Iran’s restraint and want them to do more, and at times arguably it hasn’t served Iran’s interests well, but I would say that much more often than not, diplomatically, economically, militarily that restraint has greatly strengthened Iran’s position.

      As you say, avoiding alienating the Arab public is the smart move, it turns them against their own rulers for standing with the US and ‘Israel’ and it creates the opportunity for a better diplomatic settlement in the future. Iran recognizes, unlike ‘Israel’ and the US, that regional and global public opinion does matter a lot actually in a variety of ways - and innocent blood is easy to spill but hard to wash out.

      • Lenin's Dumbbell @lemmygrad.ml
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        11 days ago

        I needed to get this reality check. The people leading Iran know better than me what is best for Iran.

        Still, I hope the reformists come out weaker than ever before once a dust settles. The world is heading towards a capital crisis never seen before. There’s no place for people who still want to perpetuate capitalism because they feel like they missed out

    • Maeve @lemmygrad.ml
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      11 days ago

      I’m pretty concerned with what’s going on with Iraq. I’m not sure if the government is making a deal with the devil for the people’s sake or if they have completely capitulated for selfish reasons, so I wait to see.

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    14 days ago

    🇮🇷Spokesperson for Iranian Parliament’s National Security Commission, Ebrahim Rezaei:

    “Trump has claimed he wants to be the guardian of the Strait of Hormuz. We don’t need foreign workers to protect the Strait. If he’s so insistent on having a guarding job, he can go guard [Lindsey] Graham’s grave.”

    @SimurghRes

    https://t.me/SimurghRes/7078

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    8 days ago

    🇺🇸☢️🇸🇦 TRUMP ADMIN TENTATIVELY AGREES TO LET SAUDI ARABIA ENRICH URANIUM, CNN REPORTS

    The Trump administration has tentatively agreed to allow Saudi Arabia to enrich uranium, CNN reports, citing sources familiar with the matter.

    The draft agreement would see the US support Saudi Arabia’s nuclear program. Negotiations wrapped up back in October 2025, but the document is still waiting on Trump’s signature.

    CNN reports the signing has been delayed partly because of the war with Iran, and officials in the administration are also worried Congress could block the deal. Notably, the agreement would not require Riyadh to join the IAEA’s Additional Protocol, which grants inspectors expanded access.

    Experts warn that granting Saudi Arabia enrichment rights could open the door to a Saudi path toward nuclear weapons.

    🐻 Nuclear program is not a problem if it’s your Epstein buddies having it. 🤷‍♂️

    🔴 @DDGeopolitics | Socials | Donate | Advertising

    https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/189383

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    9 days ago

    ‘Netanyahu belongs in the Hague’: Mamdani says weighing arrest of Israeli PM

    New York City lawyers are reportedly examining whether the mayor can order Netanyahu’s arrest during the UNGA summit

    https://t.me/thecradlemedia/64485

    My Own Soc Dem Jabs

    Oh no, a soc dem has to fulfill a campaign promise! I’m sure everyone who supported him over Cuomo will try to hold him to this very explicit promise.

    Mind you, I did and still support his mayorship over an explicit neoliberal, though that’s more so because I think people in the US need to experience the process of movement building and pitfalls of social democracy if they are to evolve their understanding. I went through the demsoc phase years ago, and can be patient with others who are doing the same now.

    That being said, an important distinction to be made is that you still need to actually critique the socdem in order to expose their inadequacy. Something many of his support base have yet to understand, still enamored by institutional legitimacy.

    Regardless, I imagine this will be an opportunity as a learning experience once Mamdani most likely folds on his promise.

    If he actually tries to fulfill it, I’d be quite surprised, but I doubt it will happen.

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    11 days ago

    ❗️Malaysia warns any Israelis found in the country will be immediately deported

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    Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim said on Wednesday that authorities are investigating allegations that an Israeli national may have been involved in the activities of a private residential community in the southern state of Johor, stressing that the government would take firm action if the claims are confirmed.

    According to Free Malaysia Today, Anwar said there would be no compromise if the allegations proved true, stating: “If we find any Israeli, we will deport them immediately because we do not recognize Israel.”

    Malaysia does not maintain diplomatic relations with Israel, and Israeli passport holders are generally prohibited from entering the country without special government approval. The Home Ministry launched an investigation after Johor state authorities called for a federal probe into allegations involving Network School, a startup community based in Johor.

    https://t.me/thecradlemedia/64266

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    14 days ago

    ❗️One in four Israelis turns to hard drugs during Gaza genocide, expanding wars

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    One in four Israelis now engages in harmful substance use to cope with the internal fallout of Israel’s genocide in Gaza and its expanding wars across West Asia according to research by the Israeli Center for Addiction and Mental Health cited by Haaretz on 8 July.

    The center said misuse has risen sharply since Israel launched its genocide on Gaza in October 2023 – climbing from one in 10 Israelis before the coronavirus pandemic to about 25 percent – with sedative use up 2.5 times, opiate and stimulant consumption nearly doubled, while the rate of use among people with post-traumatic stress disorder reaching 54.2 percent.

    Users described ketamine, cocaine, amphetamines, cannabis, and prescription sedatives becoming routine tools for enduring the missile alerts, funerals, and mobilizations generated by Israel’s expanding wars.

    Some Palestinian citizens of Israel reportedly also took to substance abuse after nearly 3 years of witnessing daily massacres in Gaza, turning to drugs as therapy remained inaccessible or unaffordable.

    https://t.me/thecradlemedia/63975

    • burlemarx@lemmygrad.ml
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      14 days ago

      This is the sickness of imperialism, colonialism, and ethnic supremacy. Having difficulty to sleep is the least to expect of those who have been seduced to maintain this degenerate ethno-state. Even though that is not enough for making them stop the genocide.

    • the rizzler@lemmygrad.ml
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      13 days ago

      getting every one of your citizens addicted to meth worked out great for germany. imagining netanyahu’s doctors sticking him 20 times a day with his own personal cocktail of uppers and downers as hamas marches on his bunker.

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    13 days ago

    ❗️Journalist held for nine months in ICE detention after being targeted for pro-Palestine activism

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    Ya’akub Ira Vijandre, a 38-year-old Filipino-American photojournalist and former DACA recipient, has now spent nine months in ICE custody, with his family and legal team intensifying calls for his release. Arrested outside his Arlington, Texas, home in October 2025, Vijandre was initially held at the Bluebonnet Detention Facility before being transferred to the Folkston ICE processing center in Georgia—a facility located 1,000 miles from his home.

    While an ICE spokesperson previously stated to KERA that Vijandre was detained for overstaying his visa and that his DACA status was revoked due to social media posts allegedly “glorifying terrorism,” his supporters argue he was targeted specifically for his activism and his Muslim faith.

    In a March 2026 ruling, an immigration judge denied all forms of relief to Vijandre. The judge explicitly cited his political beliefs as grounds for the decision, ruling that his “worldview is informed by extremist ideology to such an extent that he no longer has the ability to provide reliable or credible factual statements” and that he lacks a “meaningful grasp of truth about terrorism and terrorists.”

    His cousin, Krytle Canare, reported that Vijandre is currently in a “waiting game” as his legal team awaits responses on pending appeals in federal court. Despite the denial of relief and the harsh conditions at the Folkston facility, Canare says her cousin remains committed to his advocacy:

    “He says the future of just freedom of speech, being able to… post what you believe is just on social media should not be the reason for… his detainment.”

    While in detention, Vijandre has continued to write and has utilized his skills as a martial arts instructor to lead early morning physical fitness programs for other detainees. He has also frequently acted as an advocate for fellow detainees during medical emergencies, leveraging his training as a first responder and his fluency in English.

    https://t.me/thecradlemedia/64107

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    13 days ago

    —❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇦🇪 IRGC Statement:

    ‘Earlier this evening, the U.S. military attempted to escort several ships through the Strait of Hormuz via an illegal route not approved by Iran; a route that is dangerous and has been extensively mined.

    Two Emirati supertankers, which were deceived by the U.S. into believing they were safe, were targeted and disabled after they turned off their navigation systems and ignored repeated warnings.’

    @Middle_East_Spectator

    https://telegram.me/Middle_East_Spectator/34846

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    9 days ago

    —❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇯🇴 NEW: A former USAF pilot close to CENTCOM claims that at least 3-5 more soldiers aboard the medical evacuation flights will ‘probably not make it’

    There are 15 more soldiers with life-threatening, very severe injuries whose fate is also still unclear.

    @Middle_East_Spectator

    https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/35152